{"id":13499,"date":"2020-07-28T07:08:56","date_gmt":"2020-07-28T14:08:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/?p=13499"},"modified":"2020-08-02T17:28:41","modified_gmt":"2020-08-03T00:28:41","slug":"the-biggest-ideas-in-the-universe-19-probability-and-randomness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/2020\/07\/28\/the-biggest-ideas-in-the-universe-19-probability-and-randomness\/","title":{"rendered":"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | 19. Probability and Randomness"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sometimes the universe is unpredictable. (Nobody needs to be reminded of that just now.) Is that unpredictability fundamental, or merely apparent? And how should we deal with it when it comes along?<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | 19. Probability and Randomness\" style=\"width:640px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_mDUgPJrXqRc\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/mDUgPJrXqRc\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/mDUgPJrXqRc\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT1H23M37S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2020-07-28T14:04:12Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_mDUgPJrXqRc\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/mDUgPJrXqRc\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | 19. Probability and Randomness<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/mDUgPJrXqRc\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/mDUgPJrXqRc\/0.jpg\" alt=\"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | 19. Probability and Randomness\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe is a series of videos where I talk informally about some of the fundamental concepts that help us understand our natural world. Exceedingly casual, not overly polished, and meant for absolutely everybody. This is Idea #19, &quot;Probability and Randomness.&quot; In which we accept that none of us is Laplace&#039;s Demon, and in the real world we act under conditions of incomplete information, necessitating a turn to probabilistic reasoning. We talk a bit about what that it, how it works, and how it applies to statistical mechanics. My web page: http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/ My YouTube channel: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/seancarroll Mindscape podcast: http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/podcast The Biggest Ideas playlist: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/playlist?list=PLrxfgDEc2NxZJcWcrxH3jyjUUrJlnoyzX Blog posts for the series: http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/category\/biggest-ideas-in-the-universe\/ Background image: https:\/\/www.theaa.ie\/travelhub\/las-vegas\/ #science #physics #ideas #universe #learning #cosmology #philosophy #probability #bayes\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:640px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And here is the Q&amp;A video.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | Q&amp;amp;A 19 - Probability and Randomness\" style=\"width:640px;max-width:100%;margin:5px;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_B-uungDRP6E\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/B-uungDRP6E\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/B-uungDRP6E\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT42M56S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2020-08-03T00:25:12Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_B-uungDRP6E\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/B-uungDRP6E\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | Q&amp;A 19 - Probability and Randomness<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/B-uungDRP6E\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/B-uungDRP6E\/0.jpg\" alt=\"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe | Q&amp;amp;A 19 - Probability and Randomness\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"The Biggest Ideas in the Universe is a series of videos where I talk informally about some of the fundamental concepts that help us understand our natural world. Exceedingly casual, not overly polished, and meant for absolutely everybody. This is the Q&amp;A video for Idea #19, &quot;Probability and Randomness.&quot; But mostly people were interested in Norton&#039;s Dome and determinism, so I chat a bit about that. My web page: http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/ My YouTube channel: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/seancarroll Mindscape podcast: http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/podcast The Biggest Ideas playlist: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/playlist?list=PLrxfgDEc2NxZJcWcrxH3jyjUUrJlnoyzX Blog posts for the series: http:\/\/www.preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/category\/biggest-ideas-in-the-universe\/ Background image: https:\/\/www.theaa.ie\/travelhub\/las-vegas\/ #science #physics #ideas #universe #learning #cosmology #philosophy #probability #bayes\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:640px;margin:5px;\"><\/div><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sometimes the universe is unpredictable. (Nobody needs to be reminded of that just now.) Is that unpredictability fundamental, or merely apparent? And how should we deal with it when it comes along? And here is the Q&amp;A video.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[137],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-biggest-ideas-in-the-universe"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13499","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13499"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13499\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13501,"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13499\/revisions\/13501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13499"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13499"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/preposterousuniverse.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13499"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}