I was asked to review Lee Smolin’s The Trouble With Physics by New Scientist. The review has now appeared, although with a couple of drawbacks. Most obviously, only subscribers can read it. But more importantly, they have some antiquated print-journal notion of a “word limit,” which in my case was about 1000 words. When I started writing the review, I kind of went over the limit. By a factor of about three. This is why the Intelligent Designer invented blogs; here’s the review I would have written, if the Man hadn’t tried to stifle my creativity. (Other reviews at Backreaction and Not Even Wrong; see also Bee’s interview with Lee, or his appearance with Brian Greene on Science Friday.)
——————————————————————
It was only after re-reading and considerable head-scratching that I figured out why Lee Smolin’s The Trouble With Physics is such a frustrating book: it’s really two books, with intertwined but ultimately independent arguments. One argument is big and abstract and likely to be ignored by most of the book’s audience; the other is narrow and specific and part of a wide-ranging and heated discussion carried out between scientists, in the popular press, and on the internet. The abstract argument — about academic culture and the need to nurture speculative ideas — is, in my opinion, important and largely correct, while the specific one — about the best way to set about quantizing gravity — is overstated and undersupported. It’s too bad that vociferous debate over the latter seems likely to suck all the oxygen away from the former.
Fundamental physics (for want of a better term) is concerned with the ultimate microscopic laws of nature. In our current understanding, these laws describe gravity according to Einstein’s general theory of relativity, and everything else according to the Standard Model of particle physics. The good news is that, with just a few exceptions (dark matter and dark energy, neutrino masses), these two theories are consistent with all the experimental data we have. The bad news is that they are mutually inconsistent. The Standard Model is a quantum field theory, a direct outgrowth of the quantum-mechanical revolution of the 1920’s. General relativity (GR), meanwhile, remains a classical theory, very much in the tradition of Newtonian mechanics. The program of “quantum gravity” is to invent a quantum-mechanical theory that reduces to GR in the classical limit.
This is obviously a crucially important problem, but one that has traditionally been a sidelight in the world of theoretical physics. For one thing, coming up with good models of quantum gravity has turned out to be extremely difficult; for another, the weakness of gravity implies that quantum effects don’t become important in any realistic experiment. There is a severe conceptual divide between GR and the Standard Model, but as a practical matter there is no pressing empirical question that one or the other of them cannot answer.
Quantum gravity moved to the forefront of research in the 1980’s, for two very different reasons. One was the success of the Standard Model itself; its triumph was so complete that there weren’t any nagging experimental puzzles left to resolve (a frustrating situation that persisted for twenty years). The other was the appearance of a promising new approach: string theory, the simple idea of replacing elementary point particles by one-dimensional loops and segments of “string.” (You’re not supposed to ask what the strings are made of; they’re made of string stuff, and there are no deeper layers.) In fact the theory had been around since the late 1960’s, originally investigated as an approach to the strong interactions. But problems arose, including the unavoidable appearance of string states that had all the characteristics one would expect of gravitons, particles of gravity. Whereas most attempts to quantize gravity ran quickly aground, here was a theory that insisted on the existence of gravity even when we didn’t ask for it! In 1984, Michael Green and John Schwarz demonstrated that certain potentially worrisome anomalies in the theory could be successfully canceled, and string mania swept the particle-theory community.
In the heady days of the “first superstring revolution,” triumphalism was everywhere. String theory wasn’t just a way to quantize gravity, it was a Theory of Everything, from which we could potentially derive all of particle physics. Sadly, that hasn’t worked out, or at least not yet. (String theorists remain quite confident that the theory is compatible with everything we know about particle physics, but optimism that it will uniquely predict the low-energy world is at a low ebb.) But on the theoretical front, there have been impressive advances, including a “second revolution” in the mid-nineties. Among the most astonishing results was the discovery by Juan Maldacena of gauge/gravity duality, according to which quantum gravity in a particular background is precisely equivalent to a completely distinct field theory, without gravity, in a different number of dimensions! String theory and quantum field theory, it turns out, aren’t really separate disciplines; there is a web of dualities that reveal various different-looking string theories as simply different manifestations of the same underlying theory, and some of those manifestations are ordinary field theories. Results such as this convince string theorists that they are on the right track, even in the absence of experimental tests. (Although all but the most fervent will readily agree that experimental tests are always the ultimate arbiter.)
But it’s been a long time since the last revolution, and contact with data seems no closer. Indeed, the hope that string theory would uniquely predict a model of particle physics appears increasingly utopian; these days, it seems more likely that there is a huge number (10500 or more) phases in which string theory can find itself, each featuring different particles and forces. This embarrassment of riches has opened a possible explanation for apparent fine-tunings in nature — perhaps every phase of string theory exists somewhere, and we only find ourselves in those that are hospitable to life. But this particular prediction is not experimentally testable; if there is to be contact with data, it seems that it won’t be through predicting the details of particle physics.
It is perhaps not surprising that there has been a backlash against string theory. Lee Smolin’s The Trouble With Physics is a paradigmatic example, along with Peter Woit’s new book Not Even Wrong. Both books were foreshadowed by Roger Penrose’s massive work, The Road to Reality. But string theorists have not been silent; several years ago, Brian Greene’s The Elegant Universe was a surprise bestseller, and more recently Leonard Susskind’s The Cosmic Landscape has focused on the opportunities presented by a theory with 10500 different phases. Alex Vilenkin’s Many Worlds in One also discusses the multiverse, and Lisa Randall’s Warped Passages enthuses over the possibility of extra dimensions of spacetime — while Lawrence Krauss’s Hiding in the Mirror strikes a skeptical note. Perhaps surprisingly, these books have not been published by vanity presses — there is apparently a huge market for popular discussions of the problems and prospects of string theory and related subjects.
…
The Trouble With PhysicsRead More »