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Constraints on chiral effects

 

Searching for a signal in the polarization data is complicated by the fact that tex2html_wrap_inline268 is only defined modulo tex2html_wrap_inline270. In testing any specific hypothesis, it is necessary to choose some reasonable procedure for resolving this ambiguity. The method chosen by the authors of [24] was the following: for any choice of direction for the vector tex2html_wrap_inline316, define an angle tex2html_wrap_inline436 which is between tex2html_wrap_inline366 and tex2html_wrap_inline270 if tex2html_wrap_inline442 and between tex2html_wrap_inline444 and tex2html_wrap_inline366 if tex2html_wrap_inline448, where tex2html_wrap_inline320 (which they called tex2html_wrap_inline452) is the angle between tex2html_wrap_inline316 and the direction toward the source.

It was noted in [24] that this procedure necessarily introduces correlations between tex2html_wrap_inline456 and tex2html_wrap_inline458. It would be illegitimate, therefore, to take a statistical correlation between these two quantities as itself evidence of a signal in the data. However, if the degree of correlation were much higher than that which would be expected if there were no signal in the data, we might conclude that there was a measurable effect.

It is at this point in the analysis that we find two important flaws in the procedure followed in [24]. First, one must reliably determine the zero point for tex2html_wrap_inline268, which would be observed in the absence of any chiral effects. In [24], the authors searched for a best fit to the data of the form tex2html_wrap_inline462, where in the notation of Eq. 3, tex2html_wrap_inline464. They found that the favored value for the zero point was tex2html_wrap_inline466. This seems to be inconsistent with the evidence of Figure Two, which exhibits a peak at tex2html_wrap_inline406. The resolution is simply the fact that the definition of tex2html_wrap_inline456, as described above, separates the data into two groups, one with tex2html_wrap_inline472 and one with tex2html_wrap_inline474. With this procedure the favored value for tex2html_wrap_inline476 will always be near tex2html_wrap_inline366; it arises essentially from taking the average of a group of points clustered around tex2html_wrap_inline406 and another clustered around tex2html_wrap_inline482. This method of resolving the tex2html_wrap_inline270 ambiguity is therefore inappropriate for data which lie naturally in the vicinity of tex2html_wrap_inline406.

Nevertheless, [24] argues that the correlation found is statistically significant, as it was only very rarely reproduced in artificially generated sets of data. The procedure for generating these sets is the second important flaw that we find. Figure Two provides evidence that, regardless of the position of the source on the sky, tex2html_wrap_inline268 is distributed approximately in a Gaussian distribution centered on tex2html_wrap_inline406; a best fit to the Gaussian yields a dispersion of tex2html_wrap_inline492. Therefore, in searching for position-dependent effects, it is appropriate to compare the actual data to data which is generated by drawing from a similar distribution. In [24], on the other hand, artificial realizations were generated completely randomly, i.e. from a flat probability distribution for tex2html_wrap_inline268. This has a dramatic effect on the claimed significance of the result. We performed an independent analysis,gif using two different methods of generating the artificial data sets: first by drawing from a flat distribution, and then from a Gaussian with the appropriate width. The numbers generated were values of tex2html_wrap_inline268 for the positions and redshifts of the 71 sources in the sample with tex2html_wrap_inline360. In 1000 realizations of the data drawn from a flat distribution, in only 7 trials was the significance of the correlation greater than that in the actual data; this is comparable to the 6 out of 1000 reported in [24], and if reliable would be evidence of the existence of a signal. On the other hand, in 1000 realizations of the data drawn from the appropriate Gaussian distribution, the artificial data was more strongly correlated with the hypothesized test function in 911 out of 1000 trials. Even if there were no signal at all in the data, we would expect the artificial realizations to have a stronger correlation approximately tex2html_wrap_inline500 of the time; the fact that our trials had better correlations over tex2html_wrap_inline502 of the time is due to the fact that the Gaussian slightly underestimates the number of data points near tex2html_wrap_inline366. This result, however, vividly demonstrates our main point: the existence of a real enhancement of tex2html_wrap_inline268 near tex2html_wrap_inline406 leads to a spuriously large correlation coefficient if one uses the procedure described in [24]. When this enhancement, which is consistent with conventional models of the sources, is taken into account, there is no sign of an additional effect such as that in Eq. 3.

There is another way of quantifying our claim that a random distribution centered around tex2html_wrap_inline406 is a better fit to the data than the correlation proposed in [24]. Figure Five is a plot of tex2html_wrap_inline268 as a function of tex2html_wrap_inline458, where tex2html_wrap_inline320 is defined using the best-fit direction quoted in [24] and tex2html_wrap_inline268 is defined to be between tex2html_wrap_inline366 and tex2html_wrap_inline270.

 figure119
Figure 5: The difference between polarization and position angles as a function of tex2html_wrap_inline458 for the best-fit direction of anisotropy proposed in [24]. Angles of tex2html_wrap_inline270 are to be identified with tex2html_wrap_inline366; the data thus live on a cylinder. The solid line represents the predicted relationship in the absence of any signal, while the diagonal dashed line wrapping around the cylinder represents the model suggested in [24].

We may think of this graph as being defined on a cylinder, where tex2html_wrap_inline366 is to be identified with tex2html_wrap_inline270. With this in mind, we have plotted two possible relationships, a solid horizontal line at tex2html_wrap_inline406 and a dashed line at tex2html_wrap_inline536, where we have measured the parameters tex2html_wrap_inline538 and tex2html_wrap_inline476 from Figure 1(d) of [24]. If the relationship claimed in [24] is correct, the dashed line wrapping around the cylinder should be a better fit to the data than the solid horizontal line. This can be measured by calculating
equation127
where we take the average error to be tex2html_wrap_inline492, although the precise value is irrelevant for purposes of comparison. The quantity tex2html_wrap_inline544, which represents the difference between the predicted and measured value of tex2html_wrap_inline268, is of course subject to the tex2html_wrap_inline270 ambiguity; however, we can resolve this ambiguity optimistically for each point, by defining tex2html_wrap_inline550. Using this procedure, we calculate that the best fit proposed in [24] yields tex2html_wrap_inline552, while the hypothesis of no effect yields tex2html_wrap_inline554 69. Thus, the horizontal solid line in Figure Five is a much better fit than the diagonal dashed lines.

Given that there is ample evidence that the intrinsic zero point is centered on tex2html_wrap_inline556, we may ask how good a limit we can place on an effect such as that in Eq. (3). One approach to this problem is to define tex2html_wrap_inline268 to be between tex2html_wrap_inline366 and tex2html_wrap_inline270, and to assume that the deviation from the intrinsic value is given by tex2html_wrap_inline564. It is then possible to do a straightforward least-squares fit to Eq. (3), with the four components of tex2html_wrap_inline308 as free parameters. Using the data at redshifts tex2html_wrap_inline360, the best-fit parameters obtained in this way are
equation134
(This procedure yields separate values for each of the three spacelike components tex2html_wrap_inline570; since each value is consistent with no preferred direction, it is more appropriate to quote the limit on the magnitude tex2html_wrap_inline572.) These values are consistent with tex2html_wrap_inline574, and similar to the limit on tex2html_wrap_inline314 from [10] quoted in Eq. (5).


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Next: Discussion Up: Is There Evidence for Cosmic Anisotropy? Previous: Data

Sean Carroll
Sat Apr 26 21:33:40 PDT 1997